Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 7.346116 8.594897 9.964205 11.573417 13.408900 15.433238 17.830792
2026-02-01 5.045230 6.666803 8.637547 11.191209 14.392893 18.252865 23.234893
2026-02-08 3.669046 5.356433 7.584833 10.704007 14.911189 20.336862 27.801280
2026-02-15 2.807001 4.466505 6.819199 10.332479 15.365217 22.219615 32.142688
2026-02-22 2.376549 4.070228 6.619743 10.637626 16.684485 25.291980 38.271518
2026-03-01 2.054888 3.763023 6.477130 10.964420 18.017170 28.449295 44.741949
2026-03-08 1.670105 3.272745 5.961056 10.621769 18.264850 29.998363 48.951325
2026-03-15 1.383432 2.891250 5.552957 10.375971 18.600423 31.661541 53.411233
2026-03-22 1.267689 2.797067 5.614501 10.909673 20.232972 35.452192 61.425596
2026-03-29 1.144547 2.664169 5.583001 11.266577 21.586443 38.880571 69.090348
2026-04-05 0.998965 2.457393 5.381145 11.282783 22.335663 41.350520 75.343266
2026-04-12 0.863616 2.245357 5.135714 11.180264 22.848350 43.438599 81.077304
2026-04-19 0.715296 1.984403 4.773631 10.849256 22.988737 45.036255 86.361878
2026-04-26 0.593220 1.759257 4.454202 10.570391 23.218606 46.853767 92.260920
2026-05-03 0.480810 1.529034 4.081384 10.122878 23.060692 47.940649 96.933193
2026-05-10 0.394653 1.344223 3.776682 9.772300 23.046495 49.275397 102.135837
2026-05-17 0.356514 1.284208 3.760018 10.063364 24.392287 53.316985 112.679278
2026-05-24 0.323887 1.231995 3.753307 10.374619 25.808861 57.600400 123.970861
2026-05-31 0.268844 1.093582 3.496626 10.048409 25.787408 58.996850 129.747565
2026-06-07 0.226158 0.982273 3.290647 9.814429 25.940944 60.750278 136.334934
2026-06-14 0.213639 0.973078 3.370718 10.322521 27.858755 66.321771 150.962657
2026-06-21 0.196894 0.943556 3.386268 10.662376 29.410191 71.222485 164.518673
2026-06-28 0.173216 0.879822 3.286823 10.677810 30.179380 74.488834 174.890565